Terror Fatalities under Likud and Labor Governments

Peace or terror? From 1987-1998, the number of Israels killed in terror attacks increased dramatically when the Israeli government was led by the center-left Labor party, and especially during Labor-led peace efforts. When the Likud returned to power the number of fatalities quickly declined:

Likud vs. Labor: Israelis Killed in Palestinian Arab Terror Attacks, 1987-1998

The chart above shows the number of Israelis killed each month in Palestinian terrorist attacks from the start of the First Intifada riots in December 1987, through August 1998. It is divided into segments marking significant changes in the political situation. The red line shows the average level of fatalities within each political period.

Explanation:

1. In December 1987, a traffic accident in Gaza sparked widespread rioting which came to be known as the Intifada (and later, the First Intifada). Despite the widespread violence, however Israeli fatalities were low in the early months.

2. After Israel’s June 1992 elections, a new governing coalition was formed, led by the left-wing Labor party. It began to relax the tight security policies of the previous right-wing Likud-led government. An upsurge in terrorism followed soon thereafter.

3. Terrorism shot up again after September 1993, when the Labor government broke with longstanding Israeli policy by brokering a deal with the PLO terrorist organization. In the 30 months after that date, more Israelis were killed by terrorists (213) than in the preceding decade (209 from January 1983 to September 1993).

4. After the end of a wave of mass suicide bombings in February-March 1996, and the election in May 1996 of a new government led by the Likud party, the level of terrorism fell dramatically. There were far fewer successful major terrorist attacks, and fatalities in lower-level terrorism also dropped significantly.

Sources: Peace Watch, Shalem Center, Yesha Council, Jewish Action Initiative, news reports.


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